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The “Analyst” Fallacy

I used to spend my Friday nights doing something painful.

I would scroll through hundreds of rows of raw regulatory filings, page after page of transaction data.

I was looking for one thing: Conviction.

See, an analyst can upgrade a stock because their boss told them to. A TV pundit can pump a stock because they need ratings. That information is cheap.

But a CEO? They don’t buy their own stock by accident. When a CFO reaches into their own pocket, that is the only “Strong Buy” rating that actually has skin in the game.

But here was the problem.

Finding that signal manually is a nightmare. It’s not just boring; it’s dangerously inefficient.

I was downloading CSVs, filtering out thousands of “0-value” ESOP exercises, and Googling director names just to see if they mattered.

Sure, you can analyse this into Excel or write a Python script to scrape it. But then you’re still spending …